{"id":47343,"date":"2025-11-01T18:26:06","date_gmt":"2025-11-01T18:26:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/?p=47343"},"modified":"2025-11-01T18:26:12","modified_gmt":"2025-11-01T18:26:12","slug":"how-al-qaida-linked-jihadist-group-jnim-is-bringing-mali-to-its-knees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/2025\/11\/01\/how-al-qaida-linked-jihadist-group-jnim-is-bringing-mali-to-its-knees\/","title":{"rendered":"How al-Qaida-linked jihadist group JNIM is bringing Mali to its knees"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Armed groups of JNIM fighters have blocked key routes used by fuel tankers, disrupting supply lines to the capital Bamako and other regions across\u00a0Mali.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The al-Qaida-linked jihadist group\u00a0Jama\u2019at Nusrat ul-Islam wa al-Muslimin\u00a0(JNIM) is gradually converging on Mali\u2019s capital, Bamako, with increasing attacks in recent weeks, including on army-backed convoys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Should the city fall, the west African country would be on its way to becoming an Islamist republic with strict interpretations of sharia law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That would fulfil a jihadist mandate following in the steps of Taliban-ruled Afghanistan or Syria, where the former rebel Ahmed al-Sharaa, previously known by his nom de guerre, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, is now head of state. In areas under its control, JNIM is already enforcing dress codes and punishments via courts that, as Human Rights Watch noted in a 2024 report, did not adhere to fair trial standards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On Tuesday the US state department issued its second advisory in a week to its citizens in Mali, urging all US citizens to \u201cdepart immediately using commercial aviation\u201d, citing infrastructural problems and the \u201cunpredictability of Bamako\u2019s [the capital] security situation\u201d. On Wednesday, Australia, Germany and Italy also urged their citizens to leave as soon as possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Observers within and outside Mali say things could escalate faster and that the US\u2019s warnings are the latest indication that the country is on the brink of a third successful coup in five years and the sixth since independence from France in September 1960.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t want to sound too dramatic, but the country is collapsing before our eyes,\u201d a former Malian minister who now lives in exile told the Guardian anonymously. \u201cI would not be shocked if another overthrow happens within the next few days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cBefore 31 December, a coup will happen in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/sahel\">Sahel<\/a>,\u201d the former official continued. \u201cMali will go first and then you\u2019ll have the same domino effect that we\u2019ve seen between 2020 and 2023, with all of these countries falling one after the other.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"efd50fcd-9f6b-4ecd-8d09-6c04e9478f0e\"><a class=\"dcr-1m887w9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/oct\/18\/sahel-based-jihadists-are-extending-their-reach-can-a-fractured-region-push-back\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/8223ba175541ab32e1733cf8fbdfb9fd87879b54\/384_0_3541_2832\/master\/3541.jpg?width=460&amp;quality=85&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=max&amp;s=19307c754bea0441dc444a4fc8fa6430\" alt=\"A mural showing soldiers in Ouagadougou, the capital of Burkina Faso. \"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mali is grappling with a two-week fuel scarcity due to blockades targeting trucks from neighbouring Ivory Coast, Mauritania and Senegal, by JNIM. Drivers and soldiers have either been kidnapped or killed \u2013 or in some cases, both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Landlocked Mali relies mostly on imports to keep its stuttering economy running. In the absence of the fuel trucks, life has come to a standstill in most of Bamako.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Long queues in gas stations are a common sight now, and in many parts of the city, there is no electricity. Shops and supermarkets are closed, as many people stay indoors, unable to find transport and prices of food items keep rising. Schools have also been shut down tentatively, until 9 November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts such as Ulf Laessing, the Bamako-based head of the Sahel programme at the German thinkthank Konrad<em><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em>Adenauer Foundation, say next week could be pivotal in the lifespan of the current junta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI think next week will be really bad, because then the existing stocks everybody\u2019s living off will be gone,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s hard to see a way out. It\u2019s just difficult to see how they can resupply the capital in sufficient quantities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several analysts approached by the Guardian declined to comment on the matter, saying the regime\u2019s sensitivity about comments deemed to not be strongly in its favour, is at an all-time high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"9301e567-1297-4c7d-a63e-82faefc294d6\"><a class=\"open-lightbox dcr-13fd1ms\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/nov\/01\/how-al-qaida-linked-jihadist-group-jnim-is-bringing-mali-to-its-knees#img-2\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/18b6642354e3b62cedc9e89452f7e2a68af38306\/0_0_3906_2628\/master\/3906.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none&amp;crop=none\" alt=\"A petrol station in Bamako. \"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A petrol station in Bamako. The crisis has been exacerbated as armed groups block key routes used by fuel tankers, disrupting supply lines to the capital.&nbsp;Photograph: Anadolu\/Getty<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"an-islamic-state\">An Islamic state<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cSo far nobody is demonstrating against the government because I think they know if they brought down this government, then the next one would be an Islamist one so it can also kind of strengthen the regime\u2019s resolve a bit,\u201d said Laessing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In June 2020, civil society, religious groups and opposition parties formed a protest coalition known as the June 5 Movement \u2013 Rally of Patriotic Forces (M5-RFP) that spearheaded large-scale protests against the democratically elected president Ibrahim Boubacar Ke\u00efta, citing corruption and worsening security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Among the M5-RFP\u2019s most visible figures was Mahmoud Dicko, an influential and controversial imam who first came to national spotlight with his role in the 1991 coup of the then president Moussa Traor\u00e9. The cleric\u2019s mobilisation played a key role in forcing the collapse of the Ke\u00efta government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During one meeting where the regional bloc Ecowas, or the Economic Community of West African States, mediated between the state and M5-RFP, Ke\u00efta\u00a0dropped a shocker. \u201cI was part of the meeting when he told Ecowas leaders that Imam Dicko wants Mali to become an Islamic country under sharia law,\u201d the former minister said. \u201cWhen he said that, hell broke loose.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Within two months, soldiers led by Assimi Go\u00efta, a young captain, took over government, replacing parliament with the National Transitional Council (NTC). A second coup within a year led to Go\u00efta being sworn in as head of state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, the junta\u2019s promises have mostly been unfulfilled. The NTC, headed by Col Malick Diaw, scheduled elections for February 2022 but has repeatedly postponed them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the meantime the death toll from the insurgency has risen sharply; the total since 2012 has exceeded 17,700, with more than two-thirds of that occurring after 2020, according to\u00a0data\u00a0from the Africa Center for Strategic Studies. JNIM, whose finances have been boosted by several high-profile ransoms paid for abductees, including Emirati citizens, is expanding operations to Benin and Nigeria in coastal west Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Human rights groups have also alleged that Mali\u2019s operations with Wagner mercenaries and pro-junta militias comprising hunter militias are rife with abuses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"end-of-the-road\">End of the road?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The junta\u2019s isolation seems nearly complete.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It signed a pact for military assistance with the regimes of Burkina Faso and Niger but the effect of that remains to be seen. Having broken off relations with Ecowas, Mali is also unable to draw on its military resources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In recent years, some foreign diplomatic missions have scaled back their presence just as the junta expelled staff from other groups amid deteriorating relations with the west.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Consequently, there have been reports of increasing frustration within the ranks of the army, suggesting internal tensions among the five colonels who staged the first coup. Two of them, Diaw and the defence minister, Sadio Camara, are being mooted as potential successors who could replace Go\u00efta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, Dicko, who has been in exile in Algeria since 2023 after falling out with the government and\u00a0losing his diplomatic passport, is expected to return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cSome JNIM people are asking for Dicko to come back so they can negotiate with him instead of the Malian government,\u201d the insider said. \u201cThis is their end goal, to turn Mali into an Islamic state and they\u2019re very close.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">source:theguardian<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Armed groups of JNIM fighters have blocked key routes used by fuel tankers, disrupting supply lines to the capital Bamako and other regions across\u00a0Mali. The al-Qaida-linked jihadist group\u00a0Jama\u2019at Nusrat ul-Islam wa al-Muslimin\u00a0(JNIM) is gradually converging on Mali\u2019s capital, Bamako, with increasing attacks in recent weeks, including on army-backed convoys. Should the city fall, the west [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":47344,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_post_source_name":"","_post_source_url":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[4342,1648,4899,9465,8092,8217,11394,3347,10870,12661,960,11583,11555,9331,9233,4024,1384,6731,8440,7396,7234,10418,10391,12246,5927,9478,1537,5196,174,5800,5934,9127,6496,5575,6569,5491,66,2264,1444,10840,5661,8601,5699,13157,1392,5459,12382,12381,7283,10388,9515,10342,5317,6465,9833,9477,5572,12287,1390,434,7980,1198,2604,10381,8185,3805,10390,5561,5333,1649,8810,5655,1749,5618,3349,5319,11581,5909,6348,1101,9318,10943,5981,594,5140],"class_list":["post-47343","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world-news","tag-afghanistan","tag-africa","tag-african","tag-al-qaida","tag-algeria","tag-army","tag-attacks","tag-australia","tag-aviation","tag-benin","tag-burkina-faso","tag-capital","tag-citizens","tag-city","tag-collapse","tag-common","tag-corruption","tag-coup","tag-crisis","tag-data","tag-death","tag-death-toll","tag-declined","tag-diplomatic","tag-drivers","tag-dropped","tag-economic-community-of-west-african-states","tag-economy","tag-ecowas","tag-electricity","tag-expelled","tag-february","tag-food","tag-france","tag-fuel","tag-gas","tag-germany","tag-government","tag-hell","tag-human-rights","tag-human-rights-watch","tag-independence","tag-islam","tag-islamic","tag-italy","tag-ivory-coast","tag-jamaat-nusrat-ul-islam-wa-al-muslimin-jnim","tag-jnim","tag-junta","tag-kidnapped","tag-killed","tag-law","tag-mali","tag-mauritania","tag-meeting","tag-mercenaries","tag-military","tag-movement","tag-niger","tag-nigeria","tag-overthrow","tag-parliament","tag-passport","tag-petrol","tag-petrol-station","tag-president","tag-prices","tag-protest","tag-rally","tag-sahel","tag-schools","tag-security","tag-senegal","tag-soldiers","tag-syria","tag-taliban","tag-trial","tag-ul","tag-us","tag-wa","tag-wagner","tag-watch","tag-west-africa","tag-who","tag-young"],"blocksy_meta":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47343","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47343"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47343\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47346,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47343\/revisions\/47346"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47344"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47343"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47343"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nsemgh.com\/api-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47343"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}